Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.223045 0.237350 0.252377 0.269387 0.288165 0.308326 0.331697
2025-02-16 0.184755 0.204985 0.227629 0.255082 0.287780 0.325887 0.374275
2025-02-23 0.162509 0.186027 0.213657 0.249033 0.293907 0.350069 0.427618
2025-03-02 0.146312 0.171501 0.202217 0.243284 0.298147 0.371135 0.479813
2025-03-09 0.134657 0.160899 0.193896 0.239647 0.303574 0.393415 0.537011
2025-03-16 0.125405 0.152243 0.186863 0.236381 0.308345 0.414619 0.596209
2025-03-23 0.120204 0.148230 0.185311 0.240048 0.322908 0.451936 0.689487
2025-03-30 0.113489 0.141593 0.179497 0.236815 0.326398 0.471980 0.757340
2025-04-06 0.106417 0.133952 0.171635 0.229692 0.322741 0.479246 0.802463
2025-04-13 0.100183 0.127070 0.164335 0.222695 0.318339 0.484290 0.844116
2025-04-20 0.097067 0.124343 0.162774 0.224272 0.328114 0.516131 0.952938
2025-04-27 0.094823 0.122689 0.162614 0.227940 0.341758 0.557506 1.099222
2025-05-04 0.091208 0.118954 0.159243 0.226362 0.346362 0.582807 1.218566
2025-05-11 0.087460 0.114869 0.155145 0.223331 0.348133 0.603047 1.335374
2025-05-18 0.084279 0.111467 0.151897 0.221468 0.351903 0.628546 1.482816
2025-05-25 0.080940 0.107666 0.147802 0.217808 0.351747 0.645171 1.611809
2025-06-01 0.078080 0.104454 0.144450 0.215165 0.353274 0.666146 1.771200
2025-06-08 0.075440 0.101455 0.141263 0.212550 0.354514 0.686696 1.945101
2025-06-15 0.074187 0.100514 0.141322 0.215744 0.368204 0.742532 2.325310
2025-06-22 0.071844 0.097778 0.138293 0.213010 0.368792 0.763161 2.558354
2025-06-29 0.068999 0.094155 0.133635 0.206930 0.361362 0.759639 2.658668
2025-07-06 0.066326 0.090719 0.129158 0.200938 0.353601 0.753938 2.746236
2025-07-13 0.065165 0.089630 0.128559 0.202291 0.362726 0.801209 3.239475